Investment · Research · Technology
MARPON Capital is a private investment and financial technology venture. We trade and make markets in niche asset classes, produce independent research, and build execution and data systems for trading desks.
We run all three on our own capital before selling anything to a client.
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Proprietary trading and market making, on our own capital.
02
Independent research on market behaviour, for academic groups, desks and funds.
03
Trading systems we run on our own book before selling them.
Each practice is also available as advisory work: stack and strategy reviews, build-versus-buy decisions, and technical due diligence.
We believe prediction markets will become part of the standard toolkit for pricing real-world risk. A market that pays out on an election, a storm or a central bank decision produces a probability anyone can audit: more honest than a poll, faster than a forecast, and tradeable.
Today these markets are small, fragmented and under-researched. Tooling is thin, venues shut down and take their data with them, and most of finance treats the asset class as a curiosity. We think that gap closes within the decade, and we intend to be one of the firms that closes it: trading these markets, building their infrastructure, and publishing the research that makes them legible.
The same conviction sets the method. Any subject a market prices, from weather to geopolitics, we study to expert depth; where we reach our limit, we recruit the person who has spent a career there.
MARPON Capital manages a private co-investment vehicle and trades its own strategies alongside the research and technology practice. The research has to be good enough to trade, and the infrastructure reliable enough to trade on.
The vehicle is private and closed. Nothing on this website is an offer, a solicitation or an invitation to invest, and no investment service is offered here.